{"id":"FL-15","state":"FL","label":"Florida's 15th Congressional District","election_id":"87054","status":"called","winner_id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","reporting":10,"previous_party":"R","afi_rating":{"rating":"Safe Republican","rating_tier":"safe_r","category":"Safe","favored_party":"R","gop_win_chance":94,"color":"#a21a15","updated":"2026-08-05T16:27:15+00:00","projected_flip":false,"flip_direction":null,"incumbent_party":"R","incumbent_name":"Lee, Laurel","open_seat":false,"freshman":false,"flipped_in_24":false,"trump_margin_2024":20,"gop_margin_2024":12.4,"redraw":true,"margin_change":null,"source":"AFI Ratings Admin","source_updated":"2026-10-14T18:12:10+00:00"},"updated":"2026-10-15T15:36:57.011Z","candidates":[{"id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","name":"Laurel Lee","party":"R","votes":74525,"color":"#a21a15","photo_url":"https://americafirstinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/LeeIcon.webp","source_name":"Laurel Lee","identity_aliases":[],"incumbent":false,"endorsed":false,"match_method":"exact","display_priority":0,"pct":57.57894167548733},{"id":"civic-87054-5e94881ee9ead239","name":"Robert People","party":"D","votes":54906,"color":"#0f4b8f","photo_url":"","source_name":"Robert People","identity_aliases":[],"incumbent":false,"endorsed":false,"match_method":"exact","pct":42.42105832451267}],"featured_candidates":[{"id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","name":"Laurel Lee","party":"R","votes":74525,"color":"#a21a15","photo_url":"https://americafirstinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/LeeIcon.webp","source_name":"Laurel Lee","identity_aliases":[],"incumbent":false,"endorsed":false,"match_method":"exact","display_priority":0,"pct":57.57894167548733},{"id":"civic-87054-5e94881ee9ead239","name":"Robert People","party":"D","votes":54906,"color":"#0f4b8f","photo_url":"","source_name":"Robert People","identity_aliases":[],"incumbent":false,"endorsed":false,"match_method":"exact","pct":42.42105832451267}],"matching_review":[],"office":"house","election_type":"House of Representatives","county_data_status":"available","county_data_note":"","counties_updated":"2026-10-12T17:46:42.433Z","counties_stale":false,"counties_complete":false,"total_votes":129431,"winner_party":"R","leader_party":"R","leader_name":"Laurel Lee","leader_color":"#a21a15","vote_margin":19619,"margin":15.157883350974657,"counties_path":"shards/3541f08d1f29bc40c2d776d5401f7f184bc5c0eea7947bfba31ddb4f0435b97d.json","counties":[{"name":"Citrus","fips":"12017","reporting":23,"total_votes":177078,"leader":"Robert People","candidates":[{"id":"civic-87054-5e94881ee9ead239","name":"Robert People","party":"D","color":"#0f4b8f","photo_url":"","votes":97576,"pct":55.103400761246455},{"id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","name":"Laurel Lee","party":"R","color":"#a21a15","photo_url":"https://americafirstinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/LeeIcon.webp","votes":79502,"pct":44.896599238753545}]},{"name":"Hernando","fips":"12053","reporting":30,"total_votes":124902,"leader":"Laurel Lee","candidates":[{"id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","name":"Laurel Lee","party":"R","color":"#a21a15","photo_url":"https://americafirstinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/LeeIcon.webp","votes":65850,"pct":52.72133352548398},{"id":"civic-87054-5e94881ee9ead239","name":"Robert People","party":"D","color":"#0f4b8f","photo_url":"","votes":59052,"pct":47.27866647451602}]},{"name":"Hillsborough","fips":"12057","reporting":91,"total_votes":46711,"leader":"Robert People","candidates":[{"id":"civic-87054-5e94881ee9ead239","name":"Robert People","party":"D","color":"#0f4b8f","photo_url":"","votes":30658,"pct":65.63336259125259},{"id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","name":"Laurel Lee","party":"R","color":"#a21a15","photo_url":"https://americafirstinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/LeeIcon.webp","votes":16053,"pct":34.3666374087474}]},{"name":"Pasco","fips":"12101","reporting":68,"total_votes":10856,"leader":"Robert People","candidates":[{"id":"civic-87054-5e94881ee9ead239","name":"Robert People","party":"D","color":"#0f4b8f","photo_url":"","votes":7439,"pct":68.52431834929993},{"id":"civic-87054-c40a92f0a763796d","name":"Laurel Lee","party":"R","color":"#a21a15","photo_url":"https://americafirstinsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/LeeIcon.webp","votes":3417,"pct":31.475681650700075}]}]}